Public opinion survey, February 2017

The regular public opinion survey conducted by Index Kosova with 989 respondents in December 2016 in Kosovo, reveals that voting preferences of Kosovo’s citizens are pretty much the same as last year.

When questioned “if Kosovo Parliamentary elections would be held tomorrow, which party would you vote for?”, 17% declared for PDK, 13% for Vetëvendosje, 12% for LDK, 7% for AAK-Nisma coalition, 3% for AKR, 1% for the initiative for a new party (Mimoza Kusari – Lila, Ilir Deda, etc.) and 1% for other parties. Almost half of respondents did not give a specific answer for which party they would vote: 18% declared they wouldn’t vote for any party, 15% said they didn’t know who they would vote for and 13% refused to answer.

If we take into account only respondents who declared which party they would vote for, the potential result of next elections would be the following: 32% would vote for PDK, 24% for Vetëvendosje, 22% for LDK, 13% for AAK-Nisma coalition, 6% for AKR, 2% for the new party initiative (Mimoza Kusari-Lila, Ilir Deda, etc.), 1% for other parties.

Demographic analysis of potential voters shows that while LDK and the initiative for a new party have voters equally of two genders, other political subject have gender differences among their voters. PDK, AKR, and LVV have more female voters than male ones, while the coalition AAK-Nisma has almost double male voters than female voters.

Regarding age, LDK has older voters over 45 year olds and less young voters of ages 18-34. On the other side, LVV has mainly younger voters, notably aged 18-34 and less voters of older ages. PDK, AAK-Nisma coalition and AKR have voters of almost all ages, although PDK has more voters of 35-44 and 55-64 ages than voters of other ages. AAK-Nisma coalition has less 25-34 age voters, while AKR has more voters of 18-24, 45-54 and 65+ ages.

With respect to social status, among LDK voters, there are more retired and housewives, while among PDK voters there are many unemployed that don’t search for jobs, part-time workers and housewives. LVV has more students and full-time employees, while AAK-Nisma coalition has unemployed who are searching for jobs in large numbers as their voters.

While LDK voters are mainly from the Prizren and Gjilan regions and less from Mitrovica and Gjakova regions, PDK has voters mainly in Mitrovica region and in small numbers in Peja region. LVV has voters mostly from Prishtina and Gjakova regions and less in Mitrovica and Peja regions. The voters of AAK-Nisma are mainly from Peja and Gjakova regions, while those of AKR party are mainly from Ferizaj region. Also it’s noted that voters for a new party initiative are mainly from Gjakova region.

Respondents were also asked in general terms about main problems that Kosovo faces. Kosovo’s citizens believe that primary problem continues to be high unemployment rate (53%), together with poverty/low life standards (21%), corruption (15%) and inefficient Government (3%)

 

Note:

 

This survey was conducted with 989 respondents, Kosovo’s citizens (without Serbs), in December 2016. Data collecting method was face-to-face interview with tablets in-home of respondents. Sampling procedure was multi-staged random probability method, where households were selected by random route and respondents were selected through the next birthday method. Field quality control level was 16%, while statistical error was ±3.1%.

 

 

 

For more information:

 

Visar Berisha, Research Director

 

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Tel: 038 247 977, 049 218 339